Federal Reserve Rate Probability Chart

Market-implied probabilities for FOMC rate decisions

Rate Probabilities

Federal Reserve Rate Probability Chart

Market-implied probabilities for FOMC rate decisions

Data as of May 3, 2026 | Auto-updates with every data refresh

June 17, 2026

Rate probability for fed meeting 2026-06-17

July 29, 2026

Rate probability for fed meeting 2026-07-29

September 16, 2026

Rate probability for fed meeting 2026-09-16

October 28, 2026

Rate probability for fed meeting 2026-10-28
Source: Central Bank Watch

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About This Chart

This chart displays market-implied probabilities for Federal Reserve rate decisions at upcoming FOMC meetings. Probabilities are derived from federal funds futures contracts.

How to read the chart:

  • Green bars represent the probability of a rate cut
  • Blue bars represent the probability of no change (hold)
  • Red bars represent the probability of a rate hike
  • Percentages are shown on each bar

The chart auto-updates with every data refresh, so embedded versions always show the latest market pricing.

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