Live tools powered by daily central bank data — real rates, inflation gaps, yield curves, and more
Compare nominal policy rates vs. current inflation across all 9 central banks. Identifies which economies have positive or negative real rates.
Visual progress bars showing how far each country's inflation is from its central bank target. Highlights banks that have achieved price stability.
Policy rates vs. 10-year government bond yields for USD, EUR, and GBP. Monitors curve shape (normal / flat / inverted) as a market signal.
Upcoming policy meetings for all 9 central banks — with downloadable .ics calendar file. Import directly into Google Calendar, Outlook, or Apple Calendar.
Frequently asked questions about central banks, monetary policy, and interest rates — with live current rate data and meeting schedules embedded.
Policy rate to interbank reference to typical national mortgage rate, with the historical spread and a 12-month implied path. Covers US, UK, Eurozone, Australia, Canada, Japan, India.
NY Fed-style probit model on the 3m10y spread, computed daily for all 9 covered countries. Headline 12-month-ahead recession probability per economy.
All tools are powered by the same daily data pipeline that drives the Central Bank Watch site — scraped from official central bank sources, national statistics agencies, and interest rate futures markets. Data refreshes every day at 6:00 AM EST.
For the full methodology behind the calculations, see the methodology page. For individual central bank analysis, visit the central banks section.